Nov. 9, 2022, House districts rated as tossups have been called mostly in favor of Democrats so far, with one state as a glaring exception: New York. Heres where we think votes remain. , Elissa Slotkin, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Michigans Seventh Congressional District. (D) Josh Green. Ms. Cayetano a businesswoman who co-founded Hawaiis largest laundry services company and whose husband, Ben Cayetano, was governor from 1994 to 2002 campaigned on creating a state-funded pipeline for renters to earn ownership of their homes, and on eliminating state income taxes for people earning less than $50,000. Nov. 9, 2022, John Fetterman, the Democratic candidate for Senate, won by a smaller margin than Josh Shapiro, the Democratic candidate for governor. Mandela Barnes, delivering a critical victory for Republicans. Read more. Nov. 9, 2022, Maryland and Missouri voted to legalize recreational marijuana for people 21 and older, while voters in Arkansas, North Dakota and South Dakota rejected similar measures. Send us an email. But his campaign suffered after he decided to rely on Hawaiis public funding system and then failed to file a document required to receive the money. In the Republican race for governor, former Lt. Gov. Heres where we think votes remain. See election results, maps, county-by-county vote counts and more for Hawaii's races on Aug. 13, 2022. . RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Aiona vs. Green Hanabusa left Congress in 2018 to run against incumbent Gov. Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. Its hard to imagine how his numbers would dip to put him in danger., >> RELATED: Undecided votes critical in tight race for lieutenant governor, >> RELATED: Hawaii Poll reveals isle voters attitudes toward Ige, Blangiardi. Former Mayor Kirk Caldwell has raised $344,861 and reported $717,678 in cash on hand in the latest fundraising figures. New York's 26th District. . Cayetano communications director Lynne Waters wrote in a statement that, Much has transpired since the interviews for this poll were conducted, notably the recent series of televised debates. Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorados 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. Green raised $774,616 between July 1 and Mondays filing deadline. Nov. 17, 2022, The gap between the candidates for Arizona governor narrowed considerably after Nov. 8 as late absentee ballots were tallied, including ones dropped off on Election Day. [50] Because none of the nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor met that threshold, no nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor advanced to the general election. Next. But the state also offered in-person voting, with polls closing at 7 p.m. Saturday in Hawaii (1 a.m. Eastern time on Sunday) which is also the deadline for mail ballots to be returned. Officials have long struggled to get more people to vote in the state. The primary was scheduled for August 13, 2022. Follow along here Maura Healey, the newly elected Democratic governor of Massachusetts is the first openly lesbian woman to be elected governor in the United States. Senator Brian Schatz is seeking a third term in Hawaii. , Senator Ron Johnson of Wisconsin, a 2020 election denier, defeated Lt. Gov. The Hawaii Poll was released just after Green and fellow Democratic gubernatorial candidates Vicky Cayetano and former Honolulu Mayor Kirk Caldwell reported their latest fundraising figures. Nov. 8, 2022, These charts show how the reported vote margin (the dashed line) compares with our estimated final margin (the solid line, surrounded by bands of uncertainty) over time. election denier who marched to the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, in the race to be Arizonas secretary of state. That compares with $475,274 for Cayetano, whose contributions included a $350,000 loan she gave to her campaign. Mr. Branco and his supporters argue that Ms. Tokuda cannot be trusted because she was endorsed by the National Rifle Association in 2012, although she supported gun restrictions in the State Senate after that and has called for a federal assault weapons ban and a minimum age of 21 for gun purchases. Only 4% of Republican voters do not recognize his name, according to the Hawaii Poll, compared with 12% of Republicans who do not recognize Aionas name. These same counties favored Biden over Trump in 2020 by a margin of 8 percentage points a whopping 19-point swing. votes. The overall headline here is he (Green) does really well with everybody and even with Republicans, said political analyst Neal Milner. Greens popularity is off the charts, and it has sustained throughout this (COVID-19) crisis, which could have hurt him.. Duke Aiona in the November general election.. But his approval rating has since soared from 56% to 65%. Vance, the author and venture capitalist who is endorsed by Donald Trump, is competing with Representative Tim Ryan, a Democrat. Hawaii Poll participants were asked whether they recognized the names of Green, Caldwell and Cayetano and whether they had favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinions of them. Albert Sun Approvals still high for Josh Green in Hawaii governor's race. The United States presidential election of 2016 was the 58th quadrennial American presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. A voter dropped off a ballot in Honolulu in 2020. Josh Green continues to enjoy a commanding lead in the Democratic primary race for governor, while Congressman Kai Kahele and businesswoman Vicky Cayetano are in a distant second and third place, respectively. Alicia Parlapiano Your guide to the midterm results, from Times reporters, Democrats held onto or gained trifectas in a number of states and fended off Republican supermajorities in others. Cayetano said theres time for her to gain support before the first votes are cast. . Josh Green, Hawaiis second-in-command, wins the Democratic primary for governor. All registered Hawaii voters are sent a mail ballot. So I think Duke Aiona recognizes that as well. , Eric Sorensen, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Illinoiss 17th Congressional District. . Greens theoretical vote tally dipped from 58% in January to 55% in July. In North Carolinas Senate race, Representative Ted Budd, a Trump-endorsed Republican, is very likely to win, according to our estimates. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. A lot of nations, especially advanced democracies, let voters go to the polls on weekends, when voting doesnt have to compete with work schedules. Hawaii has supported Democrats in every presidential election in which it has participated, except 1972 and 1984 , when incumbent Republican candidates won 49-state landslides. Governor Solid Democratic Last updated April 1, 2022, 11:32 a.m. PDT Steve Shepard Chief POLITICO election reporter This race is Solid Democratic, meaning that in all likelihood, a. Democratic Primary Winner Josh Green wins the Democratic. Nate Cohn Only one, State Representative Bob McDermott of Oahu, has held elected office before. The actual vote for both the Democratic and Republican party primary elections will be held Aug. 13, followed by the general election on Nov. 8. All in all, he did really well. John Fetterman has been locked in a bitter contest against Mehmet Oz, the Republican celebrity doctor. The support Ms. Tokuda received from outside groups which, in addition to the Congressional Progressive Caucus, included Representative Pramila Jayapals Medicare for All PAC was dwarfed by what Mr. Branco received, from organizations that included VoteVets, cryptocurrency groups and the centrist Mainstream Democrats. Tony Evers won a second term as governor of Wisconsin, giving Democrats a foothold in a critical presidential battleground. Nov. 14, 2022, Three Republican House candidates who have supported QAnon underperformed compared with Trump, despite most House Republicans outperforming the former president. In November 2020, initial results werent released for more than four hours after polls officially closed because of extremely long lines in some parts of the state. Nov. 8, 2022, The Timess election forecast is now running. Wisconsins Senate race is leaning toward Senator Ron Johnson, his chambers most endangered Republican incumbent, according to our estimates. We're tracking new legislative maps as they come out, and crunching the numbers. Nov. 8, 2022, The early vote in Arizona has been strong for Democrat Mark Kelly, but we expect a good portion of the in-person and late-counted mail vote to favor Blake Masters. Maggie Astor His approval rating fell below 50% only once, when Republican poll respondents gave him an approval rating of 47% on his handling of COVID-19. BJ Penn an Ultimate Fighting Champion Hall of Famer followed Aiona, with 26% of the Republican voters polled choosing him. that guide every prediction he makes. , Vicente Gonzalez, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Texas 34th Congressional District. Nov. 10, 2022, Support for the abortion proposal was stronger than support for reelected Governor Gretchen Whitmer, a Democrat, in 76 of the states 83 counties. Mr. Green defeated six other Democrats, including Representative Kai Kahele and Vicky Cayetano, a former first lady of Hawaii. Activate your Digital Account now. Maggie Astor It included 800 registered Hawaii voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Senator Lisa Murkowski, a Republican, is facing a strong challenge from the Trump-endorsed Kelly Tshibaka. And Kansas Democratic governor, Laura Kelly, is in a tight re-election race, as is Gov. SEARCH. I want to bring people together.. Ben Cayetanos her husband and did great stuff for the state, and I think she would be great for the state, Shinyame said. Tuesday was selected because it gave eligible voters in rural areas, traveling by horse and buggy, enough time to get to a polling location and make it back for market day, which was typically Wednesday, according to an interview Don Ritchie, a former Senate historian, gave NPR in 2012. It is with a grateful heart that we express our fondest mahalo nui loa for your vote and support of our campaign!. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. The remaining vote there could tighten the race as it is counted. Outside groups supporting Mr. Branco ran attack ads condemning Ms. Tokuda over her 2012 endorsement from the National Rifle Association, though she subsequently supported gun control measures in the State Senate. I care about people. Nov. 8, 2022, Its still early in Wisconsin, but it looks close. Telephone: 808-529-4747. Nov. 14, 2022, With Senator Cortez Mastos victory in Nevada, Democrats will retain Senate control, even if Republicans win a run-off election in Georgia. Vote counting is already underway, and initial results are likely to be available soon. Lt. Gov. These ballots, which in 2020 favored Trump, were not enough to tilt the election in favor of the Republican candidate Kari Lake. I would definitely say Josh Green, Briscoe said. Polls in Hawaii close at 7 p.m. local time (1 a.m. Eastern time). In America, where most states administer elections on Tuesdays, Hawaii is an outlier but its unusual primary elections calendar is no accident. Follow our live analysis and the latest updates. The Associated Press has not called New Yorks race for governor but Gov. If Republicans win all of the races where they are currently leading by two points or more, theyll take control of the House. Mandela Barnes, and there is a close contest for governor. There is also an unexpectedly competitive Senate race in Utah between Senator Mike Lee, a Republican, and Evan McMullin, an independent. In a Q. and A. with Honolulu Civil Beat, Mr. Schatz listed the rising cost of living as the most challenging issue facing Hawaii and said we need to make it more affordable for people to build a life here.. Mr. Kahele, a first-term congressman and former state senator, focused more on campaign finance and governance issues than on housing, arguing that reforms like banning corporate campaign contributions and imposing term limits for elected officials would break the barriers that keep average voters from steering our state government.. More than 200 Republicans who questioned or denied the 2020 election results have won in the midterms so far. North Carolina Senate. The only poll that matters is on Election Day.. Senator Brian Schatz has also served as Hawaiis lieutenant governor and held other offices. Nov. 9, 2022, Democrats and Republicans each need to win three more competitive Senate seats to win control of the chamber (in addition to the races they are expected to win most easily). And Cayetano got the most support from Maui. Eight counties that voted Yes on the proposal also voted for the Republican candidate for governor, Tudor Dixon. I cant recall anyone having numbers this high, said Colin Moore, director of the University of Hawaiis Public Policy Center. More than a million dollars in spending by such groups gave Mr. Branco a financial advantage, even though Ms. Tokudas campaign raised more than three times as much as his in the most recent fiscal quarter, according to Federal Election Commission filings. Ruth Igielnik In addition to the 2012 N.R.A. As of Aug. 10, 234,000 ballots had already been returned, according to the Office of Elections. Caldwell raised $344,861 during the same period and reported $717,678 in cash on hand. , Abigail Spanberger, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Virginias Seventh Congressional District. The figure can change as NBC News gathers new information. 2018 Hawaii governor . Representative Kai Kahele, Lt. Gov. Hes outperforming Biden across the state and is currently up 8 points in counties that were the closest in 2020. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r