Labor doesnt have a huge majority but there are some Queensland seats up for grabs in 2025. The party had a strong result at the Queensland state election in early 1998 and she was predicted to perform strongly at the next federal election. Appreciate you sharing! Candidates are listed using information from their registration forms and may run in different districts than in the past. Ls. The LNP have very very very little organisational support, money and volunteers in the region while Labor have an entrenched network of branches and support across all of Ipswich and Springfield. Oxley is located in south east Queensland, and covers the south western suburbs of Brisbane. Forest Lake, QLD, 4078, PO Box 6022 This contrasts with the pre Whitlam era where the great bulk of ethnic Chines voters were supporters of Taiwan. Queensland residents must home-quarantine for 14 days and can leave for only a limited number of essential reasons (such as seeking medical assistance or escaping harm).. I think LNP sense long term opportunity in both seats. I would have thought as a Labor cheerleader that you would have had some interest in getting rid of timeservers, & lackeys ? He served in this role until he was appointed Governor-General in 1988, at which point he resigned from Parliament. The reason Dick is there is cause his brother is QLD treasurer. For the WA seats, I doubt that Moore or Canning would fall since Labor would probably reduce their resources spent in WA and focus their efforts into sandbagging Sam Lim in Tangney and Dutton will certainly do whatever he can to save his factional allies Ian Goodenough and Andrew Hastie. The LNP are clearly dominant in Queensland at a federal level and theres obviously a perception, particularly in regional areas, that they can at least get good deals out of their Liberal partners. Neumann is complacent and believes if he is seen in the community, then that is all he is required to do. Electorate profile. The original Division of Oxley was established in 1901, and was abolished and replaced by the Division of Griffith in 1934. Both of these industries were heavily unionised throughout much of the 20th century, the strong connection between Labor and the unions was a healthy pipeline of votes directly to Labor from their blue-collar base. Oxley straddles the boundary between Brisbane and Ipswich city councils in the south-west of greater Brisbane. Candidates. Electorate Officer to Senator the Hon. Some candidates may subsequently amend their registration forms to reflect new district numbers. Could it be that farmers are overusing the water that is available? Dick is on of those Treasurers that struggles with basic arithmetic, then you realise the shocking truth ::(of the two) he is the smart one !. This election was held using instant-runoff voting . My opinion is that Shayne Neumann will increase his vote, As the LNP candidate here, he is missing in action. Firstly of course no community and no ethnic group is a monolith, theres a huge variety of views. None of that sounds very sustainable. Its almost as if 2019 was so devastatingly surprising that it has provoked an opposite reaction. The ABC has a great write up on how all that works, and if it even . The FEC will update its map to reflect the new congressional districts and boundaries once information has been made available from each state. Labor have dominated this area on a state level, and Milton Dick in Oxley is a great member and is very visible across both electorates. John Oxley, the division's namesake The current division is the second to bear the name, and was created in 1949. Dennis Atkins reported that the LNP had faint hopes earlier in the year of winning Blair. And for all of winediamond deriding of senior state Ministers in Labor (Cameron Dick, Steven Miles etc) they still continue to easily spank their state LNP opponents every election. Oxley is located in south east Queensland, and covers the south western suburbs of Brisbane . Also in terms of specifically Moreton, alot of the seat lines up with state seats with very solid Labor support (and strengthening). We haven't announced any federal election candidates in your area. Indeed, it is almost universally accepted that the Libs are going to lose at least three seats *minimum* Boothby, Swan and Pearce. How ridiculous & completely absurd The area is a solid mix between traditional working class Labor voters and center left Labor voters. Strewths sources say Peter Dutton, Stuart Robert and Karen from Home Affairs are still waiting for the green light to go home when parliament rises on Thursday. safe Liberal. (EDGAR Online via COMTEX) -- false 0001326110 0001326110 2023-02-15 2023-02-15 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, DC 20549 FORM 8-K. Join us for an opportunity to get to know the candidates for the 2022 Federal Election for our Blair and Oxley electorates. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Choose your state: All ACT NSW NT QLD SA TAS VIC WA. Labor is visionless and uninspiring as of 2021, compare Albo to Kevin 07 and Obama 08. Remember QLD polled 50-50 before the last election? More often than not, whoever the party brass *thinks* is leadership material is just whoever they personally happen to like. AUSTRALIA: AGE DISTRIBUTION . I stand by it. I guess if it was to try and keep seats like Flynn and Dickson in line (respectively examples for Nats and Libs) then maybe it will work but its not going to help them gain ground anywhere. Morrison leads the preferred PM so he is more popular. Speaker of the House of Representatives from 26.7.2022. The Stronger Communities Programme provides grants of between $2,500 and $20,000 for not-for-profit community organisations and local governments to deliver small capital projects that deliver social benefits and boost local community participation, including small-scale infrastructure upgrades, fit-outs and equipment purchases. promised but never delivered and has been used as a political tool for every state and federal election Aside from that I havent found Asian Australians or Chinese Australians to be conservative, if any generalisation were to be made Id say most Chinese Australians veer towards the centre, willing to support either party with good economic and social policies. Electorate Officer to Hon. Shortly before the election she was quoted in local papers criticising government assistance for indigenous Australians, which resulted in her disendorsement as a Liberal candidate. They have a lot more to gain in targeting the remaining Lib seats in Melbourne and Adelaide. He is frequently in Blair as you can see in his social media and he relocated the senate office to Speingfield to focus on this seat and Oxley. Pauline Hanson repeatedly run for election after losing her seat in 1998, and finally returned to parliament as a senator in 2016. I did the calculations for Blair. Select the 'Find online' button. from 2004 to 2008. Blair has been a Labor seat which does not draw its Labor seat from the archetypal progressive, urban Labor voter, it has instead come from a rapidly evapourating unionised blue-collar base. After forming her own political party, Pauline Hanson's One Nation, Hanson contested and lost the newly created seat of Blair at the 1998 election. Federal MPs. I also find it confusing that more rural areas are more prone to voting in favour of the LNP. The race on election night will between Labor and the Greens to see who comes second and will be the beneficiary of the other's preferences. Queanbeyan-Palerang Regional Council countback election - 7 Feb 2023 Election of one Councillor North Sydney Council (St Leonards Ward) countback election - 21 Feb 2023 Election of one Councillor 2023 NSW State election - 25 Mar 2023 Election of the 58th Parliament of NSW See all current electionsarrow_forward For voterskeyboard_arrow_right Charlotte McCabe Candidate for Newcastle. Facebook for the Australian Greens; YouTube for the . For the former electorate, see, Electoral results for the Division of Oxley, Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in Queensland Oxley, "The process of federal redistributions: a quick guide", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Division_of_Oxley&oldid=1100555728, This page was last edited on 26 July 2022, at 14:36. At a state election, electors in each electoral district vote for one candidate to represent them in parliament. If the Newspoll of 54/46 the Libs arent picking up any anywhere. Ipswich itself has vaccination rates broadly in line with the state average (QLD has the lowest in Australia), however the fringes of Ipswich, along with the Gold Coast & Hinterland are much lower, suggesting a protest against the vaccine and more broadly Covid measures. Guide to the 2022 Australian election Guide to the 2019 Australian election Guide to the 2018 Victorian state election They have no ground to gain anymore. One-in-five candidate tweets in 2022 have mentioned race, abortion, education or the economy. Councillor, Richlands Ward, Brisbane City Council from 2008 to 2016. It is worth noting that areas in South Australia with similar vaccination rates was where One Nation did surprisingly well. Candidates to watch: Labor MP Emma McBride and Liberal's Michael Feneley Where: This electorate covers suburbs and towns along the NSW Central Coast including The Entrance, Wyong, Tuggerah and. Joint Standing: Electoral Matters served from 15.9.2016 to 11.4.2022; Joint Statutory: Broadcasting of Parliamentary Proceedings served as Chair from 26.7.2022 to present; Party positions. Oxley in 1996 was a very different seat.it was basically what Blair is now. The date change was necessitated by court order. They are lucky that they received that many ministries after having only five seats in the House of Reps. Results 1983-2019. According to a Reuters tally of provisional results announced by electoral officials in all 36 states and the federal capital Abuja, Tinubu was leading with about 35% or 8.2 million of valid votes . Are you okay with that Ben? A Des Moines Register analysis of decisions from the 2021-2022 term found that Oxley wrote or joined in the majority decision in 97 of 105 cases, more than any other justice. year at Oxley Christian College. When Australians head to the polls they will vote for their preferred party candidate for their federal area. Unless of course you mean the LNP specifically in QLD; its hard to tell on this site since we all use the terms interchanegably! I still defend my predictions and yes I still think this is in play. The sense of entitlement is just awesomely out there. The premier visiting Tokyo certainly wont help Labor either, It isnt an important trip, I dont care about the Olympics being held here it isnt important as pandemic recover. The pandemic and its effect on Blair might feed back into the overall disillusionment in job-security and prospects. cheers WD Hansons seat of Oxley was won in 1998 by ALP candidate Bernie Ripoll, and he held the seat until his retirement in 2016. Federal election 2022: LNP Oxley candidate Chris Green quietly dropped The LNP's candidate for a relatively safe Labor seat has been quietly dropped from the party's line-up, two days before nominations close. Cameron served as a minister in the Menzies government from 1956 until his defeat at the 1961 election, when he was defeated by former police officer and Labor candidate Bill Hayden. The LNP narrowly won in northern Ipswich (50.3%) and won more sizeable majorities in the rural areas, winning 55.7% in rural parts of the Ipswich council area and 57.7% in the Somerset council area. How insulting. There is a reason I believe this is vulnerable because 6% isnt safe. (Par with 2004, or is this the worst since 1996?). It has changed hands four times since the 2007 election, most recently in 2019 when the LNP's Terry Young defeated short-term Labor MP Susan Lamb. This shows concern about what is happening to that base. Senator James McGrath. Jane Anlezark Candidate for the Senate. ), Labor recorded two-party preferred majorities in 27 of the 34 polling places used in 2019, the Liberals polling well in the Centenary suburbs in the north of the electorate, but Labor dominant further south. It is likelihood that One Nation and UAPs adoption of the negative sentiment surrounding Covid measures throughout the pandemic will strongly play out in SE QLD in the election. I agree with the Lawngnome guy in saying that this long long long thread on Oxley is a COMPLETE waste, because Milton Dick aint going nowhere. Actually come up here to the marginale and Actually talk to voters which is something I have done and they will tell you. The Regional population 2020 2021 Financial Year report, released this week, highlights Ripley, in Blairs south, growing by 19.4% an estimated 1,889 additional residents in a pandemic year. Won Congressional races across the country. WOW!!. That is surprising that the odds are that wide considering the narrow margin. You can: Select a Federal Electorate for: the current member and party a map and profile of the electorate a list of all localities within that electorate There needs to be a leader who is prepared to call time on cretins. Labor are the only party that ever get anything done, LNP, Greens, One Nation, and UAP. Gideon Rasmussen is a Cybersecurity Management Consultant with over 20 years of experience in corporate and military organizations. Polls dont decide elections voters do. 2019 result No contest. Even then, Id be surprised to see the Libs not shift into gear (in Blair at least) as election day nears. Candidates Danielle Mutton ( Greens) Michelle Jaques ( Liberal Democrats) Quinton Cunningham ( United Australia) Liz Suduk ( One Nation) Shayne Neumann ( Labor) Maria Pitman ( Australian Values) Angela Lowery ( Animal Justice) Sam Biggins ( Liberal National) Assessment Find elections. actually it is worse. District maps on this page are approximate. . In early 1983 Hayden resigned as leader and was replaced by Hawke, only hours before Malcolm Fraser called an early election. Has Scott Morrison or one of his underlings turned up here yet? Even a small swing of 1-2% will make it a comfortable win for the ALP. Close to 100 seats for LNP Daniel youre kidding yourself or dreaming. Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal National Party and the Greens. Member of the Speaker's Panel from 4.8.2021 to 11.4.2022. Hanson achieved the country's largest anti-Labor swing of more than 19%. Huge difference, at least those leaders actually inspired people. The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two areas, polling 58.3% in the south-west and 67.3% in the south-east. Neumann did end up weathering the storm but it put this seat on notice. Teal candidates likely to take seats in NSW state election. Major "Moogy" Sumner Senate Candidate for SA. This dent could have been a write-off if Job Keeper was not introduced. The WA and QLD L/NP parties are also not cutting through (as opposed to 2019) and the only seats which are definitely safe are seats like Cook, Kennedy and Clark, where the local member is so entrenched they wont lose until they retire, resign or die. Dont be fooled because Albanese has absolutely no appeal up here. Delegate to the Australian Labor Party State Conference (Qld.) Across the country voting patterns confirm that people want their MP to represent the community rather than the big parties. Watch the latest news on Channel 7 or stream for free on 7plus >>. The seat covers the urban area of Ipswich and rural areas to the west, and towns such as Esk and Kilcoy. Blair is an old style ALP seat with some rural areas. Coordinates: .mw-parser-output .geo-default,.mw-parser-output .geo-dms,.mw-parser-output .geo-dec{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .geo-nondefault,.mw-parser-output .geo-multi-punct{display:none}.mw-parser-output .longitude,.mw-parser-output .latitude{white-space:nowrap}273632S 1525559E / 27.609S 152.933E / -27.609; 152.933, This article is about the current federal electorate. Population Growth. Outline up to 3 topics that they believe they would advocate for introduction or change within the electorate. The seat was held by the Liberal Party until 2007, when the ALP won. Our Candidates. But its now not looking on the cards despite the narrow margin. There were rumors reported that former LNP QLD state leader and Mp for Nanango Deb Frecklington had interest in standing in Blair in May. Select 'Federal electorate'. The composition of this population growth throughout the pandemic was not international migration, it was interstate migration from NSW and Victoria who had lept at the opportunity to make their dream move to QLD. The ensuing by-election was won by the ALPs Les Scott. Leave a bequest. Business; Politics; Military; Elections; Law; Immigration; Technology. Industries: Railway workshops, industrial, light industrial and commercial activities. Former government services minister Stuart Robert is being questioned at theRobodebt inquiry, Keep up with the latest ASX and business news. LDP, UAP and PHON have candidates already. Couldnt agree with you more. Organiser of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) Labor will probably hang on, but if the political realignment of blue collar voters towards the LNP continues they may well lose this sear. Its almost as if they want the very land they live on to be destroyed by poor economic, and environmental management. Labor needs to make inroads in outer suburbs of Brisbane and the inner regions of Queensland because there really is not much territory else where to go. Copyright 2022 Independent Oxley - All Rights Reserved. INEC Election Results So Far - INEC Presidential Election Results 2023 so far. Sound jobs now available in Oxley ACT 2903. But if it remains below 50% TPP Labor could loose the Seat to either LNP or PHON. This page contains a list of all candidates who ran in the 2022 congressional elections. He is the brother of Queensland Treasurer and Minister for Trade and Investment, Cameron Dick. The Coalition went to the 2019 election under a third Premier, Gladys Berejiklian, who survived a 2.3% swing to secure a narrow majority with 48 seats, losing two seats to Labor and four to the cross-bench. Your correct. Some candidates subsequently amended their registration forms to reflect new district numbers. Our 2022 Victories. Booths have been divided into five areas. And yet a group of football WAGS flew into the Sunshine State on a charter flight from Sydney on Monday. For all the brouhaha this will remain a Labor seat. I dont think Scott Morrison has done any campaigning here. Senator Scarr is acting as an Ipswich corridor MP. The leader of these groups was Long time DLP candidate Harry Wright. Madura McCormack @maduramccormack less than 2 min read April 20, 2022 - 12:00AM QLD Politics History This was a marginal seat at a very bad election in qld. ", The promotional page adds a quote: "You should be free to think for yourself and express your beliefs and lawfully live out those beliefs without fear of retribution, losing your job or having your reputation attacked.". Labors Shayne Neumann is all voice and no action and is taking the constituents of Blair for granted. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Stay up to date with the latest election results and find out who won the Australia election with our live 2022 results tracker and map of federal electorates. I suggest Cook since its the most boring seat. The following members have announced they are not contesting the upcoming election: Labor. Are just political grandstanders, with a whole lot of bark, but no idea on how to run a government. Moved Permanently. Avica, 153 Gooding Drive, Merrimac, QLD 4226. The teals and Greens seats arent likely going to be won by Labor now they have got them. Furtive Lawngnome Most people around here in SEQLD seem to love Scott Morrison at least that is the feedback I have been getting on Facebook, the only people that dont seem to like him are young folks. Then they can find one of those outstanding women they are always banging on about take the senate spot. Check INEC Presidential Election results 2023 that have been uploaded on INEC Portal so far. Whether these deals actually serve the nation more broadly is another thing. Hanson was a prominent independent MP and, in 1997, founded the One Nation party in support of her political views. Booths have been divided into three areas. Washington, DC 20463. Updated: 21 April 2022 The AEC publishes enrolment statistics on a regular basis to show the number of Australians enrolled nationally, and by state/territory and division. In public opinion polls, the economy has consistently ranked among the most important issues for registered voters ahead of Election Day. Candidates are listed using information from their registration forms and may be running in different districts than in the past. And then lost the next primary election, largely because voters didn't like that she made it easier for "children to disobey their parents". Theres supposed to be multiple electorate constituencies. Australian Election Archive A comprehensive archive of federal elections statistics since 1901, and state and territory statisticssince 1990. Please dont . To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. In the 2022 cycle, EMILYs List-endorsed candidates had big wins at every level of government. Lets catch up on LIberation Day!! Secretary of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) The Sydney seats that could serve up a surprise at this election. Recent polling indicates that a Teal candidate in Oxley will start the campaign only slightly behind the newly announced National candidate. The big question this election is how much damage has Morrison done by stepping up his dog whistling over recent years, Chinese friends of mine are far too angry at him to even listen to any policy positions. They would have to do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here. History Blair was created at the 1998 election, one of a number of seats created in Queensland over the last few decades. from 2004 to 2008. Ive set up a generic election open thread to go up in the morning. Join us as we hear from all the local candidates in the running to be the Federal Member for Oxley at this year's election. @Political Nightwatchman The results of the election show that Labor can afford to give up in Queensland. The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two of these five areas, polling 56.3% in central Ipswich and 60.7% in eastern Ipswich. Could Australia ban TikTok? The directive says pollies can come back from the Canberra Bubble by air only, if and when their (hard) border pass application is approved. President of Federal Young Labor. It is shocking, even insulting, that you would accuse me of derision ?. Oh no please dont be fooled by the margin, Remember this did flip in 1996 even with Pauline Hanson being dis-endorsed, I am predicting a 1975-1996 style wipe-out for Labor in QLD, the LNP is likely to match Newman 2012 levels at the federal election. Javascript recommended: FEC.gov uses Javascript to provide the best possible user experience. 255 Forest Lake Boulevard That is to go with Jim Chalmers as treasurer. FEDERAL ELECTION 2022: Full results, seats won, party votes total and . Mr Green's campaign Facebook page and website have been taken down. WD stuck in lockdown in Warringah presently mate (there are worse places to be). It was 8 points wrong, So if we apply the same 8 point error to the current polls you get 61-39. Leader of the Opposition, Brisbane City Council from 2012 to 2016. Suburbs include Redbank, Forest Lake, Richlands, Durack, Inala, Jamboree Heights and Jindalee. Hanson came first on primary votes, but lost on preferences. Each nominee that registers to attend will be given 5 minutes to talk and the event will be structured as below: Light finger food will be provided at this event. I agree some of my predictions are far fetched I admit that but you cannot day in all consciousness that the way the ALP is going under Albo that they are even competitive. Ipswich is over 60% of the seat unless the boundaries are different this is a reliable seat for Labor most times.With an expected alp swing in Queensland this is a Labor hold. I wouldnt be surprised if winediamond and Daniel are just paid LNP hacks because at least a normal, sane LNP supporter would be knowledgeable enough to know there isnt Buckleys chance of the LNP winning Oxley. Independent Oxley is a group of passionate locals who believe in community independent rather than party representation. I also dont understand why Neumann was demoted to the backbench, Does Albanese dislike Queensland or the MP himself? The division is named after the Australian explorer, John Oxley. I have absolutely no idea what value he provides the ALP, while theres huge demand for leadership contenders in Queensland. They were furious at the Coalition, who arguably made their jobs vulnerable via neoliberal policies. With a rare QLD leader of the ALP, I wasnt thinking 2013 was a high water mark for LNP in QLD, but it was in NSW. Even my (still overpoweringly vital ) 85 year old mother the Valkyrie accused me of going off half-cocked the other night.! Voters rewarded the incumbent Fraser government in 1975, Indeed 1996 was the first time since 1949 an incumbent Labor government lost. Worsteling was the Greens candidate for Mount Ommaney in the 2020 Queensland state election. Labor are slight favourites here but it will be very close. Kyle McMillen will run for the Liberal National Party in the seat of Oxley after Chris Green resigned just days before the formal launch of his campaign. . Read the story here. Alex Chapman / Federal Election / Updated 20.05.2022 Millions of Australians are heading to the ballot box on Saturday to decide which government will hold power for the next three years. Two-party-preferred vote in Oxley Candidates Timothy Coombes ( United Australia) Asha Worsteling ( Greens) Kyle McMillen ( Liberal National) Dylan Kozlowski ( One Nation) Milton Dick ( Labor) Assessment Oxley is reasonably safe for Labor. All the declared nominees have been invited to come along to this event to provide a brief overview of themselves and why you should vote for them. Enter your details, then select 'Find' to display your results. @ Ben, tell me what seats in Qld the Coalition will be picking up? There are certain posters who very obviously just project their own personal biases onto entire electorates and/or do nothing but constant, thinly veiled advocacy as analysis, but given that Labors entire strategy seems to hinge on electoral Bradburyism, I dont see an easy path to victory. Election night will likely be a shocker again and the coalition are being underestimated. Greens movement Toggle. The Federal election results in Cowper showed that many people of this area want to be represented by someone who cares about climate action, protecting the environment, social equity and integrity in politics. Parliament House Surely?. As the great sage Richo says Never hang onto a mug. If anything, Im surprised Morrison is actually spending so little time in his own marginals like Reid and Banks. Was i not clear on who was who ?. Electoral success is no determiner of ministerial competence, or successs. Yes Wreathy, I specifically meant the LNP in Queensland.Youre correct in that the Coalition must try to win seats like Hunter, Eden Monaro and Corangamite to ward off loses to Labor.The Queensland LN P are quite concerned about the seat of Brisbane. [1] https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/31/carbon-bomb-queensland-reveals-big-jump-in-land-clearing. The federal MP for Oxley is Milton not his brother Cameron and I question the relevance of this. Kathleen Irene (Oxley) Wiggins. Interestingly Oxley did retain for Labor in the Fraser years (Someone tell me what the boundaries were when Bill Hayden held this seat) Everyone assumed 2013 was a high watermark for the coalition and it was not. Hes been perfectly willing to not just play defence and campaign in Labor held seats. They were furious at Labor for what they perceived to be an abandonment of their blue-collar base for metropolitan progressives at a time their jobs became increasingly vulnerable.